Thursday, November 29, 2012

Season in Review


The promise of spring so quickly mired in the hard grind of summer turned the Hops initial season into a slow slog into the lower division where their 74-88 campaign left them over 30 back of the division leaders. Long-term injuries to Vasquez, Pircalab and Ilharco were one of the keys, as the three best gloves in the infield left a poor defense to the left and up the middle with not enough bat to compensate. There were glimmers of hope along the way, and like a good barleywine, age may see this club develop into a contender yet. 2014 is forseen as a building year, and 2015 should be a year of fruition for the malted mavens of the southland.

Overall Perspective: San Diego is very strong at catcher and the infield corners, while middle of the road or slightly worse at all other aspects of the game. The team looks to build up a corps of pitchers that will take advantage of decent glovework and continue to produce dangerous batsmen at current weaker positions.

Starting Pitching: Mike Joyce is the ace of a staff that is mature, but still has resilience in its arms. The top three starters, Joyce, Elvis Sharp and Dave Lee, all had ERAs north of 4.90, which is unacceptable, but double digit wins and over 30 starts for all show a tenacity and willingness to challenge the opposition. Newcomer, rookie Ted Mills, only 20, gained valuable experience throwing over 120 innings and picking up five victories in his 18 starts. Jason Bolyard won nine as the fifth man. Tanaka and Heida may have proven that it is a big leap from Japan to the American big leagues, or it could simply be a matter of age getting to these imports. There is not a lot of talent in the pipeline beyond Mills, so this is an area that will need to be addressed very seriously if SD is to contend.

Bullpen: Mike Chase saved 30 to finish in the top ten in the category, and he was ably backed by Nate Downs closing out with 11 saves. The pen had four other pitchers manage games as closers as well, so this is an area where San Diego can count on success. Of particular note is workhorse Steve Johnson who appeared in 77 games and logged nearly 100 innings with a superb 2.75 ERA. Even better, Aurelio Mata, with 90 appearances, and Phil Bernard with 94, showed that the Hops will always have a willing arm to throw into the fray. Names to look for in 2014 are Joe Barrett, Joe Rice, Ed Downing and Aaron Bowers, all with live arms and looking to break into the big leagues with fervor.

Catcher: Definitely the deepest position in the San Diego lineup with veteran Jason Clemens and young phenom, Dorian Knight splitting time handling the Hops staff. Knight hit at a .330 clip, and Clemens was on base nearly 40% of his plate appearances, coupled with Clemens’ superior pitch handling, they made a dangerous duo.

First Base: Miguel Ortiz is one of the true superstar sluggers of the league. He led the league in HRs (49) and total bases (403), while finishing fifth in RBIs while hitting a rakish .313. At 31, his prime years are ahead, and San Diego has him locked in through 2015.

Second Base: Armando Ilharco spent the most time at the keystone, and his defensive strength was offset by a weak offensive side. When he got hurt in August, in came Charlie Jackson who played over 50 games at the position, but though he hits, his defense was akin to a statue. Little shows in the pipeline, unless Evans in A ball develops a bat to go with his flashy leather.

Third Base: Mario Vasquez is the incumbent, but his long injury showed the lack of depth at the position. Steve Cherry proved to be a dangerous bat and a reliable glove at the hot corner. His .824 OPS was fourth best on the team behind Ortiz, Knight and Jackson. Charlie Jackson is also known to backup here.

Shortstop: Cornel Pircalab was far more skilled than the fans and management expected, and it is hoped that he can continue to connect with power as well as show uncommon range at short. When he went down to injury, Steve Cherry attempted to fill the position, but he is better at third.

Left Field: Nobody on the Hops appeared in more than fifty games in left field, so it is clear that the jury is still very far from decided. Bryan Caldwell, great aplate, horrid afield? Eric White, aging bat, still capable in left or Mike Johnson, is perhaps the best combination of all, not to mention the fan darling, Truman Madison. Caldwell and Johnson are good hitters with .725 average OPS.

Center Field: Stan Sanders tried manfully to run down flies in the spacious Brewstade pastures, but alas, a life of hops can lead to a lack of mobility, and Stan has enjoyed his post-pastime practice for far too long to be the first choice in center. Cantering into contention will require one of the young bucks like John Doré (+8.5 ZR) to continue to mature at the plate.

Right Field: Mike Johnson and Bryan Caldwell proved versatile, platooning in RF as well as left. San Diego will definitely go into spring with eyes on outfielders via any route possible.

Designated Hitter: Dorian Knight is best suited to the DH role, but Stan Sanders and a number of others are also capable. The future at this position depends a lot on the ongoing search for bats in the southland.

Prospects: San Diego’s farm system is pitcher heavy at the top end, so balancing that with major league hitters is the goal. In the most recent draft, SD was disappointed that Conner Blackwood decided to attend college rather than pursue a career swinging for the Hops’ fences.

Sunday, October 28, 2012

San Diego pitching staff:

A team that has stumbled since the injury to hot corner stalwart, Mario Vasquez, continues to plug along thanks to a pitching staff who in its entirety is under 30. A quick look at how they have managed this season:

Mike Joyce, 29, is the senior member and number one starter. With a 10-9 record, he is holding his own, though his ERA is up over 4, though his WHIP is down from last season. Hopes are that the durable innings eater continues to work his offspeed strikeout (third in the division) magic down the stretch.

Southpaw, Elvis Sharp, only 24, is just behind Joyce in K's, while doubling his production from his rookie season. At 8-7 with a 3.77 ERA he is exceeding expectations, and showing a profound ability to get dangerous left-handed batsmen out.

Ted Mills, 20, has replaced the injured "Random" Tanaka in the starting rotation and has responded with a 3-1 record in 7 starts with a sub 3 ERA. Mills could be a future ace and is certainly being proven in the crucible of big league play after a 2012 season in Single A.

Lefty veteran, Dave Lee, 28, has an even record, 12-12, but has shown big strides from his sub .500 2012 campaign. He has shown endurance while fashioning a sub 5 ERA.

26 year-old, Jason Bolyard, is the fifth starter, and at 7-9 has contributed some excellent starts amongst some less than stellar outings.

Steve Johnson, 25, has lowered his ERA to 2.21 in 50+ games, always able to get a key batter out.

Lefty, Phil Bernard, 24, has a blighted 5.22 ERA, but that is down a point and a half from last season, and he is filling the long role out of the pen.

Aurelio Mata, only 24, is getting outs on a regular basis, becoming the most reliable long man out of the Hops pen.

New Mexico native, Nate Downs, 27, has shown consistent late inning relief including 10 saves when closer, Chase, is tired. His 13+ K per 9 innings is one of the best ratios in the game.

Closer, Mike Chase, 28, already has 25 saves in 40 games, proving that inning 9 is tough for Hops opponents.

In 2014, with more bats available to the San Diego squad, this could be a very, very tough draw for any ABL foe.


Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Opening Day

San Diego opens its second season in the re-named Brew Stade with high hops, er, hopes, but recognizes that rebuilding is more the mode of the year.

Typical of the frustration endured by the Hops is the failure to sign its first round draft choice, first-sacker, Conner Blackwood.

Pending any last second moves or trades, the Opening Day look is primarily a veteran crew with some new acquisitions slipping into the mix.

C: Jason Clemons looks to build on an excellent .281/.333/.380 season, coupled with top-notch defense. Though Clemons is durable, his backup, Joe Kessler moves up from AAA where he hit a solid .300 with a .390 obp.

1b: Miguel Ortiz brings his slugging prowess, .300+, 39 HR, 125 RBI in the prime of his career, to the middle of the Hops lineup.

2b: Armando Ilharco is the ostensible starter, but this is a weak link in the Hops lineup. In part time play, Ilharco showed he can get on base, .374, but it was at A level. The youngster has a lot to prove jumping all the way to the big leagues. He will be backed up by utility infielder, Charlie Jackson, which is not an upgrade either in the field or at bat, or whoever is not starting in the SS platoon. Look for SD to be trolling the trade lines and waiver wire for changes here is Ilharco is not an answer.

3b: Mario Vasquez hits a ton, .291/.356/.413, and can handle a glove. If he stays healthy, not a problem at the hot corner.

SS: Cormel Pircalab and Reda Guillon will semi-platoon. Pircalab is the returning starter but hit a disappointing .222 in the inaugural season. Guillon, hitting lefty, will try to show he still has life in his 37 year old legs. This is the other major area of concern for the infield where Hops' management needs to be open to new solutions.

LF: Mike Johnson is one of the rising stars of the ABL, coming off a stellar .329/.393/.478 year when he was healthy. He missed 50 games to a variety of injuries and is looking to come back strong from a broken arm that ended his year. All OF positions are backed by Kimi Maruyama and Ben Martins, both new to the organization from Japan and Canada respectively giving the team a distinct international flavor.

CF: Stan Sanders, still hitting after all these years, trundles out one more year hoping to continue hitting in the high .280 region with 25+ dingers and 90+ RBI. Maruyama backs him, but also look out for John Dore as he moves up to AA with his legitimate star potential.

RF: Bryan Caldwell is another slugging outfielder hitting the prime of his career with .280-.300 20+ 90+ potential for years to come.

There is not a lot of depth in the Hops minor leagues with star potential beyond Dore, so the team trainer may be a special commodity this season.
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Rotation: RHP Mike Joyce leads a four-man rotation, hoping to make a leap up to 15 wins from an 11-12 opening campaign. Southpaw Elvis Sharp hopes to shake off the rust from a long DL stint to move to the number two slot. He only registered ten starts in '12, so the Hops need twice that at least in '13 from the youngster. Jason Bolyard managed 14 victories to lead the SD squad in 2012 and he is counted on to at least match that total while logging 240 innings. Dave Lee rounds out the rotation coming off a 12-17 season marked by 159 Ks, second to Joyce's 204. Veteran lefty Senzo Heida brings a major league changeup to the team after a long career in Japan.

Bullpen: The bullpen logged a lot of innings in 2012, and returns all its top arms. Phil Bernard, Steve Johnson and Aurelio Mata all have great arms and with a year of experience, they are all looking for improvement. Nate Downs and Mike Chase both have closer mentalities and will be battling for ninth inning recognition all season. Chase starts the season in the role, but his 12 saves barely beat Downs' 8 in 2012. Both numbers need to move up if the Hops are to contend at all.

No real superstars in the wings in the minors, but there is a glut of serviceable arms. Some of these may get moved to shore up the infield positions at the big league level.

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Outlook: .500 would be spectacular for the franchise in transition, but realistically, that is expecting a lot. This season would be considered an improvement if they matched the 78 wins of 2012.

Monday, September 3, 2012

September 2, 2012


Welcome to Hopped on Baseball, Mr. Brain's take on the ABL, a fictional online fantasy baseball league, from the unique perspective of the San Diego Hops entry in the TL (Tony LaRussa) Division.


I took over this franchise after one year of existence where they played less than .500 ball, and were struggling in the off-season. We have just completed the draft and are anxiously awaiting the results of the offer sheets presented to the stable of players invited to be part of the Hop regime.


The franchise, in its mythical construct, is owned by a consortium of San Diego North County brewers, with a minority interest from my home brewery in San Francisco. Thus, Port, Stone, Green Flash and Speakeasy breweries are the joint owners, and our unofficial press headquarters is the fabled Toronado bar in San Diego and San Francisco.


My goal is to use this unique opportunity to talk baseball, art, poetry, jazz and (beer).

CF Stan Sanders
This veteran star is the subject of our first portrait. I see this New York native as a crusty Irishman, finding a hard time on the sunny west coast. His abrasive personality does not jibe with the laid back southern California norm.